توجه: محتویات این صفحه به صورت خودکار پردازش شده و مقاله‌های نویسندگانی با تشابه اسمی، همگی در بخش یکسان نمایش داده می‌شوند.
۱Impacts of Climate Change on Streamflow and Reservoir Operation
اطلاعات انتشار: دومین همایش منطقه ای تغییر اقلیم و گرمایش زمین، سال
تعداد صفحات: ۷
The performance of reservoirs in arid and semi–arid regions will be challenged under changes in the components ofreservoir water balance due to climate change. This study attempts to investigate the dynamic behavior of one of the maindams of northwest Iran in response to changes in temperature and precipitation using the system dynamics tool. For thisaim 10 plausible hypothetical and four potential GCM based scenarios were used. Sensitivity analysis showed that thereservoir has relatively a good potential to cope with the increasing temperature, but lacks the sufficient ability to meet thedemands under the condition of reduced precipitation combined with increased temperature. Scenarios derived fromoutputs of GCMs resulted in an average increase of 2˚C to 2.5˚C in temperature and decrease of 26% to 39% inprecipitation for the Mid–Century. Such changes, assuming constant demands and same operation scenarios, would resultin average reductions of 14, 19, 21 and 26 percent on supply reliability of domestic, environmental, industrial andagricultural demands, respectively, below the possible amounts in baseline condition (1971–2000).<\div>

۲Impacts of Climate Change on Streamflow and Reservoir Operation
اطلاعات انتشار: دومین همایش منطقه ای تغییر اقلیم و گرمایش زمین، سال
تعداد صفحات: ۷
The performance of reservoirs in arid and semi–arid regions will be challenged under changes in the components ofreservoir water balance due to climate change. This study attempts to investigate the dynamic behavior of one of the maindams of northwest Iran in response to changes in temperature and precipitation using the system dynamics tool. For thisaim 10 plausible hypothetical and four potential GCM based scenarios were used. Sensitivity analysis showed that thereservoir has relatively a good potential to cope with the increasing temperature, but lacks the sufficient ability to meet thedemands under the condition of reduced precipitation combined with increased temperature. Scenarios derived fromoutputs of GCMs resulted in an average increase of 2˚C to 2.5˚C in temperature and decrease of 26% to 39% inprecipitation for the Mid–Century. Such changes, assuming constant demands and same operation scenarios, would resultin average reductions of 14, 19, 21 and 26 percent on supply reliability of domestic, environmental, industrial andagricultural demands, respectively, below the possible amounts in baseline condition (1971–2000).<\div>
نمایش نتایج ۱ تا ۲ از میان ۲ نتیجه