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۱THE EXPERIENCE OF THE PROGNOSIS OF EARTHQUAKES IN UZBEKISTAN ON THE RESULTS OF COMPLEX OBSERVATIONS
نویسنده(ها): ،
اطلاعات انتشار: پنجمین کنفرانس بین المللی زلزله شناسی و مهندسی زلزله، سال
تعداد صفحات: ۱۱
In Uzbekistan large–scale study of the problems of the prognosis of earthquakes are begun after the Tashkent earthquakes of 1966 year. As a result of the regime observations on Tashkent, Fergana and Kyzylkum geodynamic polygons during many years long rows of uninterrupted measurements have been obtained. As a result of joint analysis of predictors before a number of concrete strong earthquakes it is shown that the first seismic, geophysical and deformation fields react on the process of earthquake preparing (long–term – 1–3 years – predictors), then the Earth’s magnetic field and some parameters of underground waters react (time – from 3–4 months up to 1 year). Short–term predictors (hydrogeodynamical parameters) are displayed in time up to 1 month before a strong earthquake. Authors suggest organize prognostic works only on the base of complex methods since there is no today both the unified method of prognosis and universal predictor.<\div>
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